Batten down the Hatches

all the ARSE dribble
User avatar
Duke
Dukester Maldonado
Dukester Maldonado
Posts: 11436
Joined: Tue Jan 23, 2007 9:33 pm
Location: Melbourne

Batten down the Hatches

Post by Duke »

And stay safe towards the end of this week & over the weekend, if you're in the South East of Australia.

Dukester

norbs diplomacy lesson 101: "If I was putting words in your mouth, you'd know."
User avatar
Jamo
Posts: 2297
Joined: Fri Dec 17, 2004 10:55 am
Location: Sydney

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Jamo »

Fuck it would be great to be part of a profession where it is completely normal to be wrong 80% of the time and you are considered a genius to be wrong a mere 7 out of 10 times....
I drink a great deal, I sleep a little and I smoke cigar after cigar. That is why I am in two hundred percent form - Sir Winston Churchill
User avatar
Dr. Pain
Posts: 7431
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 4:17 pm
Location: Benalla, Victoria

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Dr. Pain »

Yay, fucking joy! I live in North East Victoria :grumpy:
Minister for Religious Genocide.
User avatar
CLP
C grade super domestique
Posts: 4903
Joined: Mon Dec 20, 2004 1:37 pm
Location: Adelaide, South Australia

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by CLP »

Jamo wrote:Fuck it would be great to be part of a profession where it is completely normal to be wrong 80% of the time and you are considered a genius to be wrong a mere 7 out of 10 times....
it depends on how you define "wrong" :P
Technically, I guess, I'm in a profession where I am wrong 100% of the time.
User avatar
Coopz
King of the Wierd
King of the Wierd
Posts: 3833
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 7:56 pm
Location: Radalaide!

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Coopz »

The Adelaide bureau is atrocious most of the time with its rain forecasts... They seem pretty confident we will get a good downpour on Friday tho.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
norbs wrote:
Stop bullying him. You have more birthdays each year than he gets roots!
User avatar
Cursed
Posts: 1445
Joined: Thu Feb 10, 2011 8:46 am

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Cursed »

I remember how, on my first trip to the US, I was amazed at the accuracy of their weather predictions. How they predicted temperature and events to the hour of the day. They seemed to be pretty spot on most of the time. Then I wondered why they seemed to be so-so here - the science is the same, they learn the same lessons and use a lot of the same equipment. The only thing I could conclude is that our physical circumstances just make it harder to predict. Maybe its the combination of antarctic freezer to the South, the oceans all around and a big, hot fucking desert. I doubt smarts has much to do with it. What's more, I think they get it right a lot more often than I remember it when I was a kid.
Image[url=steam://friends/add/76561197962772149]Image[/url]
User avatar
Dr. Pain
Posts: 7431
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 4:17 pm
Location: Benalla, Victoria

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Dr. Pain »

It is that Cursed. It's the combo of the Southern ocean and how hot our land mass gets that makes it tough to predict.
Minister for Religious Genocide.
User avatar
CLP
C grade super domestique
Posts: 4903
Joined: Mon Dec 20, 2004 1:37 pm
Location: Adelaide, South Australia

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by CLP »

Dr. Pain wrote:It is that Cursed. It's the combo of the Southern ocean and how hot our land mass gets that makes it tough to predict.
Globally changing climatic conditions probably aren't helping things either on the weather prediction front
User avatar
Dr. Pain
Posts: 7431
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 4:17 pm
Location: Benalla, Victoria

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Dr. Pain »

No they are not. But weather in the Southern Ocean has time to build power as there's hardly any land to hit besides Australia and South America.
Minister for Religious Genocide.
User avatar
norbs
fucking right wing vegan lesbian
Posts: 24178
Joined: Fri Dec 17, 2004 6:01 pm
Contact:

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by norbs »

Where is Pix when you need him?
Sarc ; my second favourite type of gasm.
Sarsippius
Posts: 4336
Joined: Tue Jan 11, 2005 1:13 pm
Location: Darwin

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Sarsippius »

It's funny up here I never check the weather, it's the same everyday basically, hot with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms this time of year or sunny and dry during the middle of the year. I notice whenever I visit the family in Melbourne they're always checking the forecast trying to work out what's going to happen.
User avatar
pixelboy
Posts: 8063
Joined: Tue Dec 14, 2004 4:07 pm
Location: Shitney

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by pixelboy »

Predicting temperature is pretty easy and is often used as a yardstick. Predicting exactly where will get how much rain is not so easy.

This event is a good example. Yes it's going to rain in Victoria and possibly a lot. Most places will range between 20 mm and 200! The BoM will rightly err on the side of caution and over predict to prepare people.

The advantage in America is the concentration of weather stations. A forecast is greatly improved if there is a weather station for that location. In some parts of Australia they are 500km apart!

Yes the forecasts are getting better and our error margin is dropping, but no, it will never be perfect so people will always be able to trott out comments like Jamos!
eek
User avatar
Duke
Dukester Maldonado
Dukester Maldonado
Posts: 11436
Joined: Tue Jan 23, 2007 9:33 pm
Location: Melbourne

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Duke »

Today's update from the BOM.

Dukester

norbs diplomacy lesson 101: "If I was putting words in your mouth, you'd know."
User avatar
Jamo
Posts: 2297
Joined: Fri Dec 17, 2004 10:55 am
Location: Sydney

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Jamo »

I forecast that, that lass will have a small human bursting from her lady parts in the near future.
I drink a great deal, I sleep a little and I smoke cigar after cigar. That is why I am in two hundred percent form - Sir Winston Churchill
User avatar
Dr. Pain
Posts: 7431
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 4:17 pm
Location: Benalla, Victoria

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Dr. Pain »

But what will it be, boy or girl? Bloody forecasters stating the obvious! :lol:
Minister for Religious Genocide.
User avatar
Cursed
Posts: 1445
Joined: Thu Feb 10, 2011 8:46 am

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Cursed »

Dr. Pain wrote:But what will it be, boy or girl? Bloody forecasters stating the obvious! :lol:
In before Jamo - Might be non-binary. You really shouldn't be disempowering the pre-natal by putting them in your patriarchal-dominated society's boxes.
Image[url=steam://friends/add/76561197962772149]Image[/url]
User avatar
Coopz
King of the Wierd
King of the Wierd
Posts: 3833
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 7:56 pm
Location: Radalaide!

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Coopz »

Another fizzer in Adelaide today, we were supposed to get 30-40mm today but now it's been revised to 4-10mm..
norbs wrote:
Stop bullying him. You have more birthdays each year than he gets roots!
User avatar
CLP
C grade super domestique
Posts: 4903
Joined: Mon Dec 20, 2004 1:37 pm
Location: Adelaide, South Australia

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by CLP »

Coopz wrote:Another fizzer in Adelaide today, we were supposed to get 30-40mm today but now it's been revised to 4-10mm..
I'm about to jump on the bike to head to work. Don't stress, you'll probably get your 30mm in that period :/
User avatar
w00dsy
The Senna of Hoppers Crossing
Posts: 24457
Joined: Wed Mar 02, 2005 2:41 pm
Location: incognito

Re: RE: Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by w00dsy »

Dr. Pain wrote:But what will it be, boy or girl? Bloody forecasters stating the obvious! Image
Depends on what it identifies as when it's older Image
User avatar
KNAPPO
Master artist
Master artist
Posts: 10311
Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:26 am
Location: North of the dog fence, Adelaide.

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by KNAPPO »

Coopz wrote:Another fizzer in Adelaide today, we were supposed to get 30-40mm today but now it's been revised to 4-10mm..
We got about 20-25mm last night.
Life is hard...but, life is harder when you're dumb.
User avatar
Dr. Pain
Posts: 7431
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 4:17 pm
Location: Benalla, Victoria

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Dr. Pain »

Cursed wrote:
Dr. Pain wrote:But what will it be, boy or girl? Bloody forecasters stating the obvious! :lol:
In before Jamo - Might be non-binary. You really shouldn't be disempowering the pre-natal by putting them in your patriarchal-dominated society's boxes.
Where did I put my cane of compliance? :smackbum: You free thinking radicals will not be tolerated!
Minister for Religious Genocide.
User avatar
Duke
Dukester Maldonado
Dukester Maldonado
Posts: 11436
Joined: Tue Jan 23, 2007 9:33 pm
Location: Melbourne

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Duke »

Dukester

norbs diplomacy lesson 101: "If I was putting words in your mouth, you'd know."
User avatar
Muppet
Posts: 482
Joined: Fri Sep 22, 2006 6:25 am
Location: Hating Hamilton before he was black!

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Muppet »

Looking out the window now in normally sunny north east Victoria, I can give my official forecast, it's fucking bucketing it down :rofl:
Sarsippius
Posts: 4336
Joined: Tue Jan 11, 2005 1:13 pm
Location: Darwin

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Sarsippius »

Come to the tropics and you'll learn what rain is all about :lol:

Granted it was a record wet last year but one day in Feb this year we got 210mm :titanic:

To be fair we're probably a bit better setup to handle high rainfall with drainage and things.
User avatar
Coopz
King of the Wierd
King of the Wierd
Posts: 3833
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 7:56 pm
Location: Radalaide!

Re: Batten down the Hatches

Post by Coopz »

KNAPPO wrote:
Coopz wrote:Another fizzer in Adelaide today, we were supposed to get 30-40mm today but now it's been revised to 4-10mm..
We got about 20-25mm last night.
10mm at Flagstaff Hill...=(
Nothing today and the 5-10mm forecast for Saturday has been downgraded to 1mm. Anything longer than 24hours seems to be guess work.
norbs wrote:
Stop bullying him. You have more birthdays each year than he gets roots!
Post Reply